These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. Among those under age 30 who voted in 2020 but not in either of the two previous elections, Biden led 59% to 33%, while Trump won among new or irregular voters ages 30 and older by 55% to 42%. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. Cannabis Extraction Market Size 2023 Research Findings, Market Growth Factors Analysis And Forecasts-2030. Voters like that Trump is not a politician Meanwhile, White men with a four-year college degree have become increasingly supportive of Democratic candidates, breaking close to evenly in 2016 (47% for Clinton, 44% for Trump) but supporting Biden by a 10-point margin in 2020. Vulnerable migrants were mounting an invasion, Trump said. Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. Asian Americans (a relatively small but fast-growing group in the U.S.) made up 4% of voters and an identical share of nonvoting citizens (note: nonvoters in this analysis do not include noncitizens). What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. Validated voters are citizens who told us in a post-election survey that they voted in the 2020 general election and have a record for voting in a commercial voter file. The 2020 election brought a huge change in howAmericans cast their ballots. These topics and storylines were in turn grouped into three broad topic categories, in addition to an other category: Frame:When reporting a story about a specific topic, there are various frames that journalists can use to orient the narrative. Many stuck in Mexico because of Title 42 have subsequently been murdered, raped or kidnapped, with more than 13,480 reports of violent attacks during Bidens presidency alone. However, just as in the coverage studied, U.S. adults in the right-only and tend-right diets are most likely to say it has been mainly negative (35% and 32%, respectively, versus 6% of the left-only group and 4% of the tend-left group). Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). Among independents and those who affiliated with other parties, Biden led Trump by 52%-43%. Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. Comparably smaller shares of Black (20%) and Hispanic voters (18%) said the same. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). Biden has soft advantages here, but these threats could keep Trump from winning critical independents and moderates in the election if he ignore them. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. For our analysis of Americans views of news coverage, we group respondents by their news media diet. With Trump, the numbers were roughly reversed, with 74% framed around leadership and character and 26% around policy and ideology. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety Generation Xers, those ages 40 to 55 in 2020, divided relatively evenly (51% to 48%), as did Baby Boomers. Trump looks too eager to argue and fight, not work out solutions with Democrats While Trump announced Nov. 15 that he would mount a third bid for the White House in 2024, Biden has . Now he's implementing system-level changes to make progressive policies permanent. We compare and contrast. The media has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be the DNCs choice for President. Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. Meanwhile, even as officials publicly argue against reliance on the policy, they have expanded its use multiple times, abruptly, to target Venezuelans and now also Nicaraguans, Haitians and Cubans. Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. Trump . On the other hand, former Vice President Joe Biden has a different opinion. Among nonvoters in 2020, 46% were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican. The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. Chances are this night won't. Bidens a puppet and wont be the man in charge hes very scripted and controlled by others This provides an important difference from normal polls, in that voters are allowed to speak their mind in their own words. At intellectual war with the Demonic Left, DJ posts whatever is on his mind, and sometimes has been known to be worth the read. The downside of DeSantis's current strategy is evident in the polls. Trump runs his mouth too much (but he gets the job done) Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. Perhaps reflecting the enduring impact of this long-term age gap, voters ages 30 to 49 were also solidly in the Democratic candidates camp in 2020, favoring Biden by 12 points (55%-43%), similar to Clintons share among this age group. Part of Trumps enduring legacy is tied to being the president who separated families at the US-Mexico border and threw kids in cages for days or weeks, often with little communication or information provided to keep track of them. One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. A man protests family separation at the San Ysidro border crossing in Tijuana, Mexico. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. These voters formed substantial bases of support for both Biden and Trump. Turnout differences by race and ethnicity persisted as well. (For more details, see Methodology.). I have been generally optimistic about President Trumps campaign up to now, but I think its important to step back and work to be objective. Outlets with right-leaning audiences diverged from the other media groups in some types of sources they cited in stories about the Biden administration. But there's more to be worried about: The . Fully 78% of the stories from outlets with predominantly right-leaning audiences carried a negative assessment. The report includes accurate analyses of PESTLE, SWOT, and other factors that affect the Bidens . Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. The 2020 election featured continuity in the voting patterns of major demographic and political groups in the population, but there were a few important shifts. First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. In 2020, Biden won college-educated Hispanic voters 69% to 30%. When asked whether five key priorities of the new administration were getting too much attention, too little attention or the right amount of coverage, only one such topic the COVID-19 pandemic was identified by a majority of Americans (58%) as getting the right amount. Biden is the lesser of two evils The pandemic has allowed Biden not only to attack Trump with a bogus but emotionally powerful charge, but also to hide in his basement literally from serious criticism. That stands in stark contrast to the 19% of stories with a negative assessment from outlets with left-leaning audiences and about a quarter of stories (24%) from outlets with a mixed audience. By contrast, older age groups divided fairly evenly between Biden and Trump, a result not too different from 2016. In addition to the analysis of the media coverage of the early days of the Biden administration, this project, for the first time, includes a survey component designed to study Americans sense of the news coverage of the new administration based on their different media diets. On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. Under Donald Trump, Americans were confronted with a near-constant onslaught of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy, especially regarding the US-Mexico border, as the same man who led chants about building a wall there won the 2016 presidential election and took control of the Oval Office for the next four years. So how is it, with these comments, that Biden is leading in the polls, and Trump seems almost desperate? Without the religiously unaffiliated, Trump would have had a 9-point popular vote margin over Biden. White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. Editors: Warner Todd Huston, Rick, David Robertson, Doug Johnson, DJ Drummond, Michael Laprarie, Baron Von Ottomatic, Shawn Mallow, Dan Karipides, Michael Avitablile, Charlie Quidnunc, Steve Schippert, Comment Section Editors: Maggie Whitton, Rodney Graves, Emeritus: Jay Tea, Lorie Byrd, Kim Priestap, Paul, Mary Katherine Ham, Jim Addison, Alexander K. McClure, Cassy Fiano, Bill Jempty, John Stansbury, Rob Port. That pattern emerged in a number of different aspects of coverage of the Biden administrations first 60 days from the topics of stories to the sources cited in those stories. If his decisions cause harm, he will be blamed for their effects Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. Biden had already reversed Trump's deregulatory efforts. Trump has grown weary of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media has used to damage his image. U.S.-Russia relations was a leading topic in 2017, but not in 2021, while the economy was the leading 2021 topic but not among the top five in 2017. The survey respondents in this study are grouped according to the audience makeup of outlets they turned to for political news in the past week. Some 2,000 migrants stranded on the southern border of Mexico demanded freedom of transit during President Biden's visit to the country. From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. Yet even as Biden tries to clean up Trumps mess, de facto family separations continue. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. President Trump has offensive reactions to events Many Americans say early media assessments of Biden administration were mostly positive, fair and accurate, 6. Still, a sizable share (43%) said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot. That's because the 2024 Republican primary will not be a two-person race. Pew Research Center has studied news coverage of the start of each new administration since 1993, when Bill Clinton began his presidency. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. To that end, I am falling back on a well-known but still useful business tool: the SWOT analysis. Detailed descriptions about the focus groups include the detail that these group each lasted more than two hours in length, making sure every voter in the groups got heard, and had a chance to comment on issues they felt were important, a sharp distinction from the brief-as-possible polls which limited voters to multiple-choice responses, and sometimes only an either/or choice. Within a news story, the statements from the sources cited as well as the reporters own language determine the overall assessment of the Biden administration. In 2020, Trump won 65% of White non-college voters nearly identical to his 2016 share even as Biden outperformed Clinton among this group (33% of White non-college voters backed Biden, up from the 28% of this group Clinton won in 2016). President Joe Biden (L) waves alongside his son Hunter Biden after attending mass at Holy Spirit Catholic Church in Johns Island, S.C., on Aug. 13, 2022. There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. We surveyed 11,818 U.S. adults online in November 2020, 10,640 adults in November 2018 and 4,183 adults in November and December 2016. The Democratic electorate is more evenly divided when it comes to education. Very few members of Gen Z (born 1997 and later) were eligible to vote in the 2016 electorate, and they made up just 1% of all voters that year. Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. 1. For now, though, Mr. Biden has managed to do what Mr. Trump repeatedly promised but never could pull off: move forward on a big-spending, bipartisan deal to rebuild American roads, bridges, water . Vaccine distribution was the one storyline the groups with media diets on the left or tending left had heard considerably more about than the right-only or tend-right groups. One other key difference was that in 2017 the new presidents political skills was the most covered topic, while it ranked fifth in 2021. If this threshold was not met, stories were coded as neither positive nor negative. Immigrants of color made headlines for supposedly coming here from shithole countries, and Mexican immigrants were called drug dealers, criminals and rapists. Here are the questions used for this report and its methodology. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. Voters like Trumps strong stance against China in the trade war NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. Trump was counting on drawing blood with his attacks on Biden's family, making this into a controversy that finally pulls his front-running opponent back to earth. Trump stands out, while Bidens never done anything to stand out In contrast, rural voters were more likely to report voting in person on Election Day. The presidents management and political approach. At the other end of the generational spectrum, members of the Silent and Greatest generations (born 1945 and earlier) fell from 16% of all voters in 2016 to just 8% in 2020, but their turnout rates remained among the highest of all generations. To be sure, Hispanic voters are not a monolith; there is substantial diversity within the Hispanic electorate. The most infamous through-line between Trump and Bidens approaches to people arriving at the US-Mexico border today has been both administrations controversial use of a health law to deny millions of migrants and would-be asylum seekers the opportunity to ask for protection, seemingly in violation of their rights domestically and internationally. Who's ahead in all? College graduates made up 39% of all voters in 2020 (about the same as in 2016) but only 17% of nonvoters. The conclusion, at least according to the National Pulse, is simple: Voters are having buyer's remorse on Biden - and wish they had given Trump a second term.. This includes all mentions of him, but not of other individuals such as his family members and former administration members or of references to his administration broadly. Most controversially, Mr. Biden has kept Trump-era tariffs on China, despite the fact that some economists and several top U.S. officials, including Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen, question. A Biden-Trump rematch risks worsening our country's already deep divisions. The poll, released Wednesday, shows the . That puts Harris' rating under . Voters think Trump has done a better job than the last couple of presidents Trumps honesty appears challenged 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA The Trump-Biden presidential contest. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. One difference to note in the Trump-Biden comparison is that the 2017 study covered the first 100 days of the administration, while this years study covers only the first 60 days. If elected, Biden may not serve all four years Yet parallels exist. Americans who get news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences were most likely to say they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders (79%), nearly twice the share among those who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences (42%). As a result, a record number of voters said they cast their ballots this way (46%). Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. 3. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. In response to President Trump, Biden say's "these kids came with parents.. separated them at the border to make it a disincentive to come to begin . See Methodology for details. As some states looked to adapt to challenges in administering elections amid the COVID-19 pandemic, large numbers of voters were offered expanded access to absentee and vote-by-mail options in the 2020 election. Those who voted in 2018 but not in 2016 backed Biden over Trump in the 2020 election by about two-to-one (62% to 36%). However, when comparing Clintons voters with Bidens, there are some significant shifts. By contrast, about a third of Trump voters (32%) voted by mail. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. Another significant difference in their coverage is that while the negative Biden stories modestly outnumbered the positive ones, negative stories about Trump exceeded positive ones by four-to-one. Americans were less likely to answer the other three questions correctly. In 2020, they were 8% of the total, though their lower rate of turnout compared with older age cohorts is reflected in the fact that they were 15% of eligible nonvoters. A Biden family member (not in the administration), Donald Trump, his family or former administration, A journalist (other than the reporter or anchor of the story) or news organization. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. Biden, by contrast, drew strong support from religiously unaffiliated voters atheists, agnostics, and those who say their religion is nothing in particular. Together, these voters made up 25% of voters, which is a slightly larger share of the total electorate than White evangelicals (19%). Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. Biden, by contrast, has stopped holding migrant families in Ice detention, so far. After such public vitriol and humanitarian scandals, Joe Biden billed himself as the anti-Trump candidate who would restore honor and decency to the presidency, partly by building a fair and humane immigration system. Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . At the same time, White voters with a college degree or higher supported Biden by roughly the same margin they had backed Clinton in 2016. This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. Another stark difference in the early coverage of the Biden and Trump administrations was in how stories were framed. (Americans who consume news from these outlets were also much more likely to report hearing a lot about immigration policy reform, according to the survey data.) By comparison, just 2% of voters chose a third-party candidate in 2020. Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. "There's no way he can protect preexisting conditions. The Swing Voter Project contacts voters who voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections in key swing states. Some of the largest differences between voters and nonvoters are seen on education and income. Researchers coded stories from the 25 news outlets with content pulled from more than 45 specific programs or websites for a number of measures: Topic:News stories were first coded as being about one of 47 specific topicsor storylines (the most prominent topic within each story was coded as the storys overall topic). This study looks at coverage of the Biden administration in two different ways: 1) studying the content published by different news organizations, and 2) asking Americans about their opinions on coverage of the administration. The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). 2. Most swing voters fell they are personally better off than they were 4 years ago, even considering the pandemic. While the topic of the economy was covered more by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Trumps tweets sometimes hurt his cause and image. White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. White voters were most likely to say they voted in person on Election Day (30%). The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. A SWOT analysis of Trump vs. Clinton Opinion Jul 08, 2016 Analytics Government Competitive assessment takes the publicly known attributes of a product and compares it to its competition.. Still, a majority in the right-only media group say it is fair, and just under half say it is accurate (see Chapter 2 for details). But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. Given the change in the media landscape, we used the seven sampled media organizations that have persisted since 1993: the nightly evening news on ABC, CBS, NBC and PBS, as well as the print editions of The New York Times, The Washington Post and Newsweek across the first 60 days for each of the five presidencies. Overall, there were shifts in presidential candidate support among some key groups between 2016 and 2020, notably suburban voters and independents. But attention varied across the media groups, with Americans who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences least likely to be following news about the Biden administration very closely (16%) and their counterparts on the right almost twice as likely to do so (30%). It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Bidens Pilosa Extract Market detailed analysis of a business is mainly covered by Application . In the 2018 election, Democrats substantially narrowed the gap with men (50% of men voted for Democratic candidates, 48% for Republican candidates) while maintaining an 18-point lead among women. Voters think Biden may stabilize the country On the NASDAQ, Trump is at 44.12% compared to Biden at -9.61% a difference of 53.72%. While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN Money - His net worth is estimated to be about$4,500,000,000. The areas of coverage people say they are getting most of from their main sources broadly align with the share of coverage devoted to each in Part 1. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. At the same time, the publics sense of news coverage of the Biden administration is more positive than the study of the news coverage reveals: 46% of U.S. adults say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration offered mostly positive assessments, far more than the 14% who say theyve seen mostly negative ones. 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